RBA's Hawkish Stance Leaves Homeowners Awaiting Rate Cut Relief

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained the cash rate at 3.6 per cent, a decision anticipated by economists and market participants.

However, the unexpectedly cautious rhetoric from the RBA's board and governor, Michele Bullock has prompted a rethink among analysts on the timing of future rate cuts.

Initially, economists at Commonwealth Bank predicted a rate cut in November, but now they've shifted their expectation to February following the RBA's recent tone and data releases. This adjustment comes in response to stronger-than-expected economic activity and consumer price index results, which suggest inflation might exceed the RBA's forecasts.

Belinda Allen, head of Australian economics at CBA, cited a significant uplift in trimmed mean inflation and robust consumer activity as key factors contributing to CBA's revised forecast. These indicators imply that the RBA may hold interest rates steady during the remaining meetings in 2025.

Other financial institutions are also adjusting their predictions. JP Morgan's Ben Jarman has withdrawn his call for a November rate cut, while the probability estimated by money markets has dropped from over half to approximately one-third.

Conversely, Paul Bloxham, chief economist at HSBC, retains his outlook for a rate cut in November. He acknowledges the risk of fewer cuts than previously expected and emphasises that future decisions will heavily depend on the consumer price index data set for release at the end of October.

This wait-and-see approach underscores the RBA's commitment to monitoring inflationary trends and economic data closely. For mortgage holders, this means that immediate interest rate relief may be delayed as the central bank grapples with the evolving economic landscape.

As observers await the forthcoming CPI data on 29 October, the potential for an interest rate adjustment in the coming months remains contingent on how inflationary pressures unfold.

Published:Wednesday, 1st Oct 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Entireti Revamps Managed Account Platform with Salita Portfolio Services

02 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

Entireti has revamped its managed account offering following its acquisition of Australian Unity’s financial advice business, launching the Salita Portfolio Services. This new service aims to cater to both licensed and self-licensed practices, encompassing Fortnum Private Wealth, Personal Financial Services, Akumin (formerly AMP licensees), and Entireti Alliances, its newly branded self-licensed service operations. - read more

Social Media: A Lifeline for Pre-Retirees Seeking Financial Advice

02 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

With financial advisers grappling with the challenge of serving more clients with limited time resources, effectively educating new clients about their financial journey has become a daunting task. According to Deline Jacovides, founder of Mazi Wealth, advisers once had the luxury of time to nurture and educate newcomers, but rising costs now demand clients arrive with a foundational understanding. - read more

First Home Buyers at Risk of Negative Equity Under New Scheme

02 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In a recent analysis by Eliza Owen, the head of research at Cotality, concerns have been raised about the potential financial consequences for first-home buyers under the Albanese government's new 5% deposit scheme. This scheme, known as the First Home Guarantee, allows buyers to purchase property with just a 5% deposit, with the government covering a 15% mortgage guarantee. - read more

RBA's Hawkish Stance Leaves Homeowners Awaiting Rate Cut Relief

01 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained the cash rate at 3.6 per cent, a decision anticipated by economists and market participants. However, the unexpectedly cautious rhetoric from the RBA's board and governor, Michele Bullock has prompted a rethink among analysts on the timing of future rate cuts. - read more

ACCC Warns Caravan Retailers: Uphold Consumer Rights or Face Reforms

30 Sep 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has issued a stern warning to caravan retailers, highlighting concerns over misleading advertisements and pricing practices that could lead to significant consumer harm. The watchdog's recent report exposes serious failures within the industry, particularly regarding inaccurate information about prices and vehicle weights. - read more

Click for more Finance News

Truck Loans Articles

Key Insurance Policies Every Truck Owner Needs

Truck insurance plays a critical role in safeguarding your valuable assets. For truck owners, having the right insurance coverage can mean the difference between financial security and devastating loss. - read more

Balloon Payments, Residuals and Their Place in Your Truck Loan

The pursuit of a quality truck or fleet can be a significant undertaking for any business, especially within the dynamic and ever-expanding Australian transport industry. An understanding of the variety of financing options available within this sector is crucial, as it allows businesses to strategically acquire heavy vehicles that are vital to their operations. - read more

Preventive Maintenance: Keeping Your Truck on the Road for Years

Keeping your truck in top condition through preventive maintenance is crucial for extending its longevity. Regular check-ups and timely repairs can save you from unexpected breakdowns and costly repairs, keeping your truck on the road for years. - read more

How to Create a Safety-First Culture in Your Trucking Business

Creating a safety-first culture in the trucking industry goes beyond merely following regulations. It means prioritizing the well-being of drivers, the integrity of the cargo, and the security of the fleet. In this context, a safety-first mindset influences daily operations, decision-making, and long-term strategies. It's about cultivating a work environment where safety is an integral part of every action and thought. - read more

Common Pitfalls to Avoid When Applying for Commercial Truck Financing

Securing the right financing is a crucial step for any commercial trucking business. With the right loan, businesses can acquire the essential vehicles and equipment needed to expand their operations and improve efficiency. However, navigating the landscape of commercial truck financing can be challenging, especially for those unfamiliar with the process. - read more

Start Here

Get a free truck loan eligibility assessment and compare truck finance and leasing options without accessing your credit file!!

Knowledgebase

Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):
A valuation ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings.